Modeling the Brazilian Economy

Takao Fukuchi e Marco Antônio F.H. Cavalcanti. / Rio de Janeiro, 2003

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CONTENTS

PART I: MACROECONOMETRIC MODELING

CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCTION
Takao Fukuchi and Marco Antônio F. H. Cavalcanti

CHAPTER 2
A HISTORICAL OVERVIEW OF THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
Paulo Mansur Levy and Ana Luiza N. H. BarbosaMarco Antônio F. H. Cavalcanti

CHAPTER 3A
CHRONOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND MAIN FEATURES OF IPEA'S ANNUAL MACROECONOMETRIC MODEL
Marco Antônio F. H. Cavalcanti

CHAPTER 3BA NOTE ON THE MINI-MOPSE-B
Mamoru Obayashi

CHAPTER 4A
CHRONOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT AND MAIN FEATURES OF IPEA'S QUARTERLY MACROECONOMETRIC MODEL
Marco Antônio F. H. Cavalcanti

CHAPTER 4B
A QUARTERLY ECONOMETRIC MODEL FOR THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY
Suminori Tokunaga

CHAPTER 5
CONSTRUCTION OF A MONTHLY ECONOMETRIC MODEL
Takao Fukuchi

CHAPTER 6
STOCHASTIC SIMULATIONS AND MULTIPLIER ANALYSIS
Mamoru Obayashi

CHAPTER 7
CONCLUDING REMARKS
Takao Fukuchi and Marco Antônio F. H. Cavalcanti

PART II: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS OF SOCIAL SECURITY

CHAPTER 8
INCOME REDISTRIBUTION IN PUBLIC PENSION SYSTEMS IN BRAZIL AND JAPAN
Noriyoshi Oguchi, Kaizô Iwakami Beltrão and Francisco E. B. de Oliveira

CHAPTER 9
IMPLICATIONS OF THE BRAZILIAN SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM ON SOCIAL WELFARE
Roberto Ellery Jr. and Mirta N. S. Bugarin

PART III: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF CONSUMER'S EXPENDITURE SYSTEM

CHAPTER 10
AN ANALYSIS OF THE BRAZILIAN CONSUMER BEHAVIOR: A MICROECONOMETRIC STUDY BASED ON REGIONAL PRICE INDEXES AND METROPOLITAN HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES
Seki Asano and Eduardo P. S. Fiuza